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When Weather is Wrong

7/13/2014

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Your current weather is wrong.  That means whatever was predicted is not happening.  The satellite got it wrong.  The weather person got it wrong.  The software program messed up. The monitoring station blew it.

Everyone and everything conspired so that what you’ve been told or read is not what’s happening directly over your head right now.  This seems to be the case when it comes to predicting rain, at least in Texas.

Here’s what happens:  Because so much of the state is in a drought, you pray for rain daily.   This doesn’t work, so you must rely on the weather report.

You hope it will rain, so maybe wishful thinking makes things screwy.  You over-expect.  You want it to rain, so when you look at the satellite shot on the Internet that shows red thunderstorms and solid green patches for 30 miles north-south and east-west, that you expect it must rain soon where you sit.

Instead, you look at the window, watch and wait.  Then you go back to the computer, look on the weather channel again, and find that the huge swath of rain has passed your house by, with not a rain drop touching your roof.

It’s easy to get irritated with the people who give the weather forecast on TV, because they are tangible and actually “tell” you want is supposed to be like outside. It’s not like we can’t go out and look for ourselves and see what direction the wind is blowing, what the clouds look like and feel the humidity (or lack of moisture) in the air.

Most of us choose to listen to the talking head weather person.  As more and more we go to our personal communication devices to check on everything from movie reviews to the availability of a new sneaker at the Nike outlet store, it becomes the place where we pull the weather up.  When we look at mobile weather information online, and it still doesn’t come true, even at the EXACT SECOND they are telling us something is happening in our city, then something feels fundamentally wrong.

There are multiple apps to follow the weather.  You can look at daily predictions, satellite maps, hourly projections, the five-day forecast. Regardless, they frequently prove incorrect or inaccurate.

Recently, I went online on a Saturday morning when it was cloudy out.  I checked “current” and “today” and “tonight” on the weather link.  “Today” said there would be morning rain.  This did not happen.  “Current” said it was raining at my location.  It was not.  “Tonight” said a chance of continued rain.  You can imagine how much I believed that.

Another time, I went to the satellite map.  A raging storm appeared right on top of us.  Did we get any rain?  Nope.

You can  track the storm on the satellite image, so I did that, watching it move across our area, hammering everything in sight over a period of a couple of hours.  Did this actually occur?  It did not.

At some point you stop believing the app, the predictions, the satellite, and instead start questioning who developed the software to do this type of monitoring.  They are probably laughing at all of us, sitting around a pool drinking margaritas and counting their money for creating flawed software.

Rather than writing and inserting code that would actually accurately predict and project weather patterns, images and activity, the software guys chuckled to themselves and said, “Let’s mess everybody up and make the current location five miles away.  That way everyone will get someone else’s weather.”

When you keep being told something and it doesn’t come true, you grow jaded and cynical.  The best way to move forward is to remember “whatever you’ve been told about the weather is wrong.”  Then you’ll be right.

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